United Forum
Go Back   United Forum > Not Football related > Gamblers Anonymous
Closed Thread
 
Old 08-06-2008, 04:57 PM
wonky no
 
Default football betting theory

"Correct Score "
Most of the football home wins end with result 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 which is a statistical fact. Bookmakers usually offer following odds for this correct scores: around @7,0 for correct score 1-0, around @8,0 for correct score 2-0 and around @9,0 for correct score 2-1. We will pick 2 games with this system where we expect a homewin for the hosts that should be slight favourites.

Barcelona - Real Madrid 1-0, 2-0, 2-1

Chelsea - Arsenal 1-0, 2-0, 2-1

We can place 6 single bets with 11 units staked on each and 9 double bets with 2 units staked on each. Our total stake is 84 units and our return can be: with one correct score between 77 and 99 units and with two correct scores between 252 and 360 units.



uniteds home win scores last season (premier league only)

1-0 (2)
2-0 (5)
2-1 (2)
other scores (10)

chelsea home wins last season (premier league only)

1-0 (4)
2-0 (2)
2-1 (3)
other scores (10)

when results doubled i.e both sides resulted in 1-0/2-0/2-1

30th jan
chelsea 1 v reading 0
united 2 v portsmouth 0

1st dec
chelsea 1 v west ham 0
3rd dec
united 2 v fulham 0

25th aug
chelsea 1 v portsmouth 0
26th aug
united 1 v spurts 0

unite and chelsea played at home on the same day 10 times last season and 3of those times the doubles came in and 5 times a single paid out.



1 unit = 1

10x 84 = 840 = total stake

the 5 singles paid out @
66+77+77+77+88 = 385

the 3 doubles paid out @
3x 252 = 756

so

756+385-840=301

total profit 301



f*** me that took some working out!
 
Old 08-06-2008, 05:11 PM
Hopskipjump
 
Default

can you repeat that please?


 
Old 08-06-2008, 05:16 PM
wonky no
 
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hopskipjump
can you repeat that please?


keep up at the back
Closed Thread
Thread Tools
Similar Threads for: football betting theory
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Does anyone else agree with this theory.... elhombre Football 49 25-04-2008 07:31 AM
I think I've discovered the theory behind, 'Lost'... muotmc Main Forum 6 30-05-2007 11:00 AM
Conspiracy Theory Argentina Main Forum 4 01-03-2007 02:35 PM
Conspiracy Theory!!! CamelToe Main Forum 7 14-12-2006 10:18 PM
All times are GMT. The time now is 12:38 AM.

Copyright 2006 - 2016 utdforum.com. This site is in no way affiliated to Manchester United Football Club.